LATEST FIGURES
State-based armed conflict, now ranked as the # 1 current risk by 23 % of respondents
The rise in the two-year ranking of Geoeconomic confrontation, from # 14 last year to # 9 today reflects unease about the path ahead for global economic relations
Concerns about Adverse outcomes of AI technologies are low in the risk ranking on a two-year outlook
FOCUS AHEAD
• With geopolitical volatility likely to remain high over the next two years, organisational investment in geopolitical risk foresight and risk management is a must
• The landscape deteriorates over the 10-year timeframe, with 62 % of respondents expecting stormy or turbulent times
• The top risk in 2027 is misinformation and disinformation, for the second year in a row
• Extreme weather events are anticipated to become even more of a concern than they already are, with this risk being top ranked in the 10-year risk list
102 January 2026